Ron@cognitivewarriorproject.com

Shipping: On the Precipice of Major Change

Shipping: On the Precipice of Major Change

Okay, long post alert. I had no idea I had this many articles bookmarked in my history on shipping. First things first: I don’t know ship about shipping. I am not an expert in any sense of the word. Just a dude who watches social media and cares about National Security. So, with that out of the way, let’s talk shipping…

One more thing before we dive in. I have worked in National Security (played a small, supporting role of limited importance) for almost 30 years, and I have never seen anything come close to the pace of change we are witnessing today. No matter what you think about the current administration, the pace of change is incredible, and I love the open embrace of technology.

With that out of the way, let’s turn to the real expert, Sal Mercogliano. Here, he discusses the potential of outfitting commercial ships with real defensive capabilities. This, in my opinion, is a necessary step because actual shipbuilding has been neglected for so long.


 Drone boats, you say. Here is a small portion:

“These systems are incredibly useful and capable,” explained Niedziocha, now director of the USMC Expeditionary Warfare School. “And you say, ‘Hey, you know, [in] the next war, if the first thing you’re putting through the breach isn’t a robot, something’s wrong. You say never send a Marine someplace you haven’t sent a bullet. I think the new way is [you] never want to send a Marine someplace you haven’t already sent a robot. So yeah, we’re embracing [the technology] and we’re not leaders. We’re fast followers in that regime.”

But first, the vision…

The Pentagon has announced plans for a new functional combatant command, very broadly akin to U.S. Special Operations Command (SOCOM) or U.S. Space Command (SPACECOM), but for operational activities involving autonomous and robotic capabilities. Secretary Pete Hegseth has also announced new initiatives to help further accelerate the fielding of uncrewed systems in the air, at sea, and on land, as well as to explore future warfighting challenges. All of this builds on previous and long-overdue efforts to prioritize the fielding of various tiers of drones, as well as artificial intelligence (AI) and other emerging technologies, across domains, but there are questions about how these new efforts will translate into tangible developments.

Drone boats.

The awards “mark a significant step forward in translating the strategic vision into a tangible fleet capability,” Chris Miller, the Navy’s Acting Direct Reporting Portfolio Manager for Robotic and Autonomous Systems (DRPM RAS), told TWZ and others at a media roundtable earlier today. “Each agreement is for the procurement of 10 MUSV at an average procurement cost of $40 million per vessel.”

Saronic is the leader here. The pace of design to implementation is mind-boggling. If you cannot see below the fold…

“Marauder went from initial design to on-the-water in under a year, and this evaluation demonstrated that the platform holds up under the Navy’s own toughest testing,” said Dino Mavrookas, CEO and Co-Founder. “We’ve now flipped our third Marauder hull, with several more moving through the production line behind it. We can build at that pace because we designed the autonomy, software, hardware, and the production process side-by-side, as one system, rather than bolting them together after the fact. That’s what it means to be a vertically integrated shipbuilder, and it’s why we’ve been able to build and deliver at speed and scale.”

It is not all about drones, though. It is about delivering at scale in new and refurbished shipyards.

As part of its overall effort to boost America’s flagging shipbuilding capacity, the Trump administration on Tuesday announced that Anduril is building a new two-million-square-foot facility in Baltimore designed to help speed up the production of Virginia class nuclear-powered attack submarines. The plant, dubbed Arsenal-2, will eventually produce components like torpedo tubes and spherical air flasks, which will then be sent to the two shipyards that build nuclear submarines, General Dynamics Electric Boat and Huntington Ingalls Industries’ Newport News Shipbuilding. Anduril’s plan to build complex submarine components is a huge leap for a company with a shipbuilding portfolio consisting of a limited number of smaller craft.

The scale.

The model.

The cash

The know-how. 

The partners.

Naval automation is limited to drone boats. How about a vertical take-off fighter drone?

Shield AI says it is on track to roll out the first prototypes of its X-BAT jet-powered stealth ‘fighter’ drone by the end of this month. Flight testing of this uncrewed aircraft, which is designed to take off and land vertically from a tail-sitting position, is still scheduled to kick off before the end of the year. X-BAT’s core concept was already highly ambitious, but an extremely aggressive timeline to reach some degree of operational capability through the U.S. Navy’s Runway Independent Maritime Expeditionary Strike (RIMES) program has now been disclosed.

The Navy is great and all but what about a strategic commercial fleet? Outsourcing shipbuilding was a strategic failure, and they are finally starting to truly address it.

Nuclear power on ships.

To wrap this up, well, you should actually just follow Tyler Rogoway and TWZ (The War Zone); outside of that, you are finally seeing a real commitment to shipbuilding and the changing nature of warfare. Like it or not, drones are the future, and it is about time that we are investing in that future at scale. Follow the links, read about it, know it. What an incredible time to be alive. 
 


 

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